Pandemic Update for 2022-03-09: Presume
This week marks two years since the WHO declared a pandemic. As the Omicron wave recedes, here are some longer-form perspectives on where we are headed and where we should perhaps be headed instead. Plus a Ukrainian frippery.
Quote of the week
- Robin Schoenthaler, MD — “Walking into a school or work or childcare has never been completely safe but we never gave our vulnerability much thought. Stepping back into the world with this vulnerability now etched into our hearts and souls will not be a simple process.”
On Monday a group of infectious disease experts and epidemiologists, a who’s who of the voices of the pandemic, released a roadmap to living with Covid, moving toward a state they call the “next normal.” The list of 23 authors includes many names that will be familiar to longtime readers: Trevor Bedford, Kizzmekia Corbett, Ezekiel Emmanuel, Aikiko Iwasaki, Michael Mina, Paul Offit, and Michael Osterholm. Thirty other authors are credited with contributing.
The group recommends broadening the focus of Covid surveillance and countermeasures to encompass more respiratory illnesses, including flu and respiratory syncytial virus. (The latter disease kills more young children annually than influenza does.) They recommend a national target of fewer than 60,000 deaths per year from respiratory infections. That is about the number of fatalities currently from flu alone in a bad season.
The roadmap group also wants the next normal to continue some elements introduced in the fight against Covid, for example more remote work, less commuting, and better indoor air quality. They also stress test-and-treat (as the Biden administration also does) to get people quick access to therapeutics such as Paxlovid. The roadmap calls for a renewed emphasis on research and treatment for long Covid.
The release of the 136-page roadmap has been covered extensively. Here are write-ups from Stat News, Fortune, and CIDRAP. MPR News has an interview with Michael Osterholm covering the high points.
I found the roadmap site’s embedded PDF reader (from a service called Issuu) somewhat finicky. Here is a link to the report in its own browser window. I could not find a way to download the full PDF.
A series on long Covid
Lately I have been linking to the posts of Katelyn Jetelina, Your Local Epidemiologist, because she is good at making public health and epidemiology accessible to the non-specialist reader. Jetelina links and summarizes, in understandable terms, current research on the virus. She reproduces and/or adapts illustrations from the published papers to clarify the subject matter.
Now YLE has
begun a mini-series of five four posts on the subject of long Covid. Here are links to all of them. (The series was originally projected to extend to five posts, but YLE ended up combining #4 and #5.)
- #1: The burdens of long Covid
- #2: Impacts on the heart
- #3: Impacts on children
- #4: Indicators and treatment
How to navigate the post-Omicron world
Here is another science interpreter and popularizer who has been active during the pandemic. Dr. Robin Schoenthaler is a Boston oncologist who began posting her notes on Covid just before the WHO declared a pandemic, 24 months ago. Her most recent post tackles a question I have been wondering about myself: how do we actually go about re-engaging with the world after two years of deeply internalized mortal hazard?
And should I then presume? And how should I begin?
Why do we quietly accept a million deaths?
Ed Yong’s recent piece in The Atlantic is a clarion cry of outrage that we have, as a society, acquiesced to a million deaths from this scourge, “without the social reckoning that such a tragedy should provoke.” And whose deaths? Mostly old people, poor people, Black and Brown people. Here is Yong’s opening paragraph in full.
Follow that link and read the rest. It will repay your time.
Frippery: Ethnic chaos
Here is another Ukrainian band, DakhaBrakha (translated: give/take), quite different from the polished Eurovision stage act we enjoyed last week. NPR’s Bob Boilen characterized the self-described “ethnic chaos” music of DakhaBrakha this way: “The creative quartet from Kiev, Ukraine make music that sounds like nothing I’ve ever heard, with strands of everything I’ve ever heard.”
This Tiny Desk Concert was recorded in 2015. If you aren’t familiar with Tiny Desk, it is a series of intimate concerts produced since 2008 for NPR Music by Boilen. Over 900 concerts are up on the YouTube channel and listed and linked at Wikipedia; new concerts are added at a rate of two or three per week. Before the pandemic these concerts were recorded live at Boilen’s desk in NPR’s Washington DC offices. In the last two years the Tiny Desk (Home) Concerts have been virtual.
Thank you for aggregating so many awesome resources!
Our micro-level report: my spouse V’s workplace has requested her back in the office two days a week starting May 1. She says, “the extroverts miss having lunch together, going by each others’ desks to chat.”
As a neurodiverse introvert, V has been much more productive in her quiet home office (and as a result has been promoted twice during the pandemic and gets to be in long video meetings about a computer system update). She noted that local infection rates haven’t come down below what were deemed “stay at home” levels last year and asked whether she will be blamed/coached if her output is slower at the office.
Also we gave up one of our cars during the pandemic, so what if we both have to go in on the same day … (Wait, I know the answer to that and it will be good for my fitness: I’m a brisk 20 minute walk from the MAX train line … with a brisk 15 minutes on the other end. Yes, there is a shower at work!)
During the pandemic I moved to a team managed out of British Columbia and I have only ever met ONE of them in person. I haven’t heard what my own “team agreement” (my company’s term) about office facetime is going to be. A useful-sounding remote work setup I interviewed for in 2017 was offered by TaxJar (pre-Stripe): everyone worked remotely at home, AND there were two long conferences every year where the entire company went to the same place and did collaborative work such as reviews and goal setting. Maybe I can find something like that, or encourage my team to move towards it. Well, now off to follow the links!